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Erragon stood there, his face expressively conveying that his "details" were
not going to be good news. Resolutely, he closed the door and strode over to
the Mercator projection, fumbling to extract a red marker from his pocket.
"I'm afraid," he said, "that while Monaco Bay is in the direct line of only
one main wave, it will also be inundated by several waves, diffracted by the
inner Ring islands." He put his red marker on the islands and made a rapid
downward stroke, ending at the coastline.
"I figure the first wave-"
"First wave?" Lessa exclaimed.
"Urn, yes, first wave of five, to be accurate." While Lessa was speechless, he
hurried on. "The first will strike at Monaco Bay at four hours fifteen
minutes, local time-three hours and twenty five minutes after impact-and hit
the Jordan River mouth an hour and a half later. Rather spectacularly, in
fact." He paused. "I can't help it, Lady Lessa."
"That's just the first wave?" she asked grimly.
"Stinar's trying to do a diagram so you-so we all-can see how the waves will
be spaced and reflect against the shore. One comes in a straight line from the
impact site. The others won't be as strong, of course, as the unimpeded
tsunami." He tapped the headland that jutted out into the sea east of Monaco
Bay. "The cape may provide some protection, but the harbor facility ... " He
shrugged with regret. "I'm confident that the dolphins will warn ships at sea.
We know they do. They will surely have felt the impact. They are so tuned in
to their medium. Ships may not experience more turbulence or be much the worse
for it. It's when a tsunami meets the shore, or shoals or shallows, that it
crests and runs in. As to Cove Hold, Lady Lessa, it's shielded by the point
east of the coast and the islands between-" He tapped it by way of
demonstration. "-from some of the waves that Monaco Bay will experience.
Additionally, the underwater extension of the eastern point at the Upwelling
will break incoming waves. Spectacular breakers but much less actual wave
height until fairly far west along the coast. Most of what the Cove will see
is a splash wave as a result of the secondary wave breaks." He gave her a
swift ingratiating smile.
Lessa shifted restlessly in her chair. Devastated by Erragon's talk of five
tsunamis striking Monaco Bay, she felt perversely irritated by the fact that
they had only recently restored the Hold to its pre-hurricane elegance.
"I suppose the news about Cove Hold provides a little relief." Instantly aware
of how bitter she sounded, she held up her hand, "Which is none of your fault,
to be sure." She nodded at him to continue. Better to hear the worst and clear
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her mind to plan how to proceed.
"Now, there will be flooding west of Cove Hold." His pen crossed the open area
to the out-jutting of Southern. "These two coastlines will also be flooded,"
his pen moved again, "possibly with less force."
"The new Dolphin Hall?" she asked, hoping that young Readis's new project
would survive.
"I believe it's on the west side so this headland," and he marked the spot to
the right of the mouth of the Rubicon river, "will protect it. There might be
a very high tide but the dolphins will surely have spread the warning."
"That's their bargain with humans," Lessa said drolly. "However, to go on
west," Erragon continued, almost as inexorably as that wretched tsunami, Lessa
thought to herself, "Macedonia will experience four different waves, but I
understand that coastline is not well settled."
"Then Monaco has not been singled out?" Lessa asked caustically. She had to
find some balance in this calamity; her mind roiled with all they would have
to do. At least this time they would be able to rescue those most vulnerable,
unlike the hurricane that had taken them by surprise. She had to keep that
thought foremost in her mind.
"Oh, no," Erragon assured her. "The most direct wave will arrive in Macedonia
about nine hours after impact, about four in the afternoon local time. Then a
direct tsunami will strike Southern Hold about eleven hours after impact-four
in the afternoon local time.
The second will arrive about fifteen minutes later and the third at about four
fifty, local time."
"Toric is going to be furious," Lessa commented, but that caused her none of
the heartache that she had felt on hearing about
Monaco Bay.
"On the Northern continent," Erragon went on as he shifted his all too busy
red marker upward, "a tsunami will strike the Foot of
Nerat, and all the way up the shore." Lessa sat straight up as she saw him
reddening the entire eastern coastline.
"But there's time," Erragon assured her. "Three to four hours after impacting
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